Long run productivity risk and aggregate investment

Jack Favilukis, Xiaoji Lin

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

12 Scopus citations

Abstract

Long-run productivity risk - shocks to the growth rate of productivity - offers an alternative to microfrictions explanations of aggregate investment non-linearities, in particular the heteroscedasticity of investment rate. Additionally, consistent with the data, these shocks imply that investment rate is history dependent (rising through expansions), its growth is positively autocorrelated, and it is positively correlated with output growth at various leads and lags. A standard model with shocks to the level of productivity either predicts opposite investment behavior or fails to quantitatively capture these features in the data.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)737-751
Number of pages15
JournalJournal of Monetary Economics
Volume60
Issue number6
DOIs
StatePublished - Sep 2013
Externally publishedYes

Bibliographical note

Copyright:
Copyright 2013 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.

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