TY - JOUR
T1 - Prediction of Coronary Heart Disease Events in Blood or Marrow Transplantation Recipients
AU - Gangaraju, Radhika
AU - Chen, Yanjun
AU - Hageman, Lindsey
AU - Landier, Wendy
AU - Balas, Nora
AU - Ross, Elizabeth
AU - Francisco, Liton
AU - Bosworth, Alysia
AU - Te, Hok Sreng
AU - Wong, F. Lennie
AU - Weisdorf, Daniel J.
AU - Bhatia, Ravi
AU - Forman, Stephen J.
AU - Armenian, Saro H.
AU - Bhatia, Smita
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2023 The Authors
PY - 2023/8
Y1 - 2023/8
N2 - Background: The long-term risk of coronary heart disease (CHD) and clinical models that predict this risk remain understudied in blood or marrow transplantation (BMT) recipients. Objectives: This study sought to examine the risk of CHD after BMT and identify the associated risk factors. Methods: Participants included patients transplanted between 1974 and 2014 at City of Hope, University of Minnesota, or University of Alabama at Birmingham and those who survived ≥2 years after BMT. Multivariable logistic regression models assessed CHD risk in BMT survivors compared with a sibling cohort. A self-reported questionnaire and medical records provided information regarding sociodemographics, comorbidities, and therapeutic exposures, which were used to develop a CHD risk prediction nomogram. Results: Overall, 6,677 BMT recipients participated; the mean age at BMT was 43.9 ± 17.7 years, 58.3% were male, and 73.3% were non-Hispanic Whites. The median length of follow-up was 6.9 years (range: 2-46.2 years) from BMT. CHD was reported in 249 participants, with a 20-year cumulative incidence of 5.45% ± 0.39%. BMT survivors had a 1.6-fold greater odds of CHD compared with a sibling cohort (95% CI: 1.09-2.40). A nomogram was then developed to predict the risk of CHD at 10 and 20 years after BMT including age at BMT (HR: 1.06/y; 95% CI: 1.04-1.08), male sex (HR: 1.89; 95% CI: 1.15-3.11), a history of smoking (HR: 1.61; 95% CI: 1.01-2.58), diabetes (HR: 2.45; 95% CI: 1.23-4.89), hypertension (HR: 2.02; 95% CI: 1.15-3.54), arrhythmia (HR: 1.90; 95% CI: 0.89-4.06), and pre-BMT chest radiation (yes vs no: HR: 2.83; 95% CI: 1.20-6.67; unknown vs no: HR: 0.88; 95% CI: 0.34-2.28). The C-statistic was 0.77 in the test set (95% CI: 0.70-0.83). Conclusions: This study identified BMT recipients at high risk for CHD, informing targeted screening for early detection and aggressive control of risk factors.
AB - Background: The long-term risk of coronary heart disease (CHD) and clinical models that predict this risk remain understudied in blood or marrow transplantation (BMT) recipients. Objectives: This study sought to examine the risk of CHD after BMT and identify the associated risk factors. Methods: Participants included patients transplanted between 1974 and 2014 at City of Hope, University of Minnesota, or University of Alabama at Birmingham and those who survived ≥2 years after BMT. Multivariable logistic regression models assessed CHD risk in BMT survivors compared with a sibling cohort. A self-reported questionnaire and medical records provided information regarding sociodemographics, comorbidities, and therapeutic exposures, which were used to develop a CHD risk prediction nomogram. Results: Overall, 6,677 BMT recipients participated; the mean age at BMT was 43.9 ± 17.7 years, 58.3% were male, and 73.3% were non-Hispanic Whites. The median length of follow-up was 6.9 years (range: 2-46.2 years) from BMT. CHD was reported in 249 participants, with a 20-year cumulative incidence of 5.45% ± 0.39%. BMT survivors had a 1.6-fold greater odds of CHD compared with a sibling cohort (95% CI: 1.09-2.40). A nomogram was then developed to predict the risk of CHD at 10 and 20 years after BMT including age at BMT (HR: 1.06/y; 95% CI: 1.04-1.08), male sex (HR: 1.89; 95% CI: 1.15-3.11), a history of smoking (HR: 1.61; 95% CI: 1.01-2.58), diabetes (HR: 2.45; 95% CI: 1.23-4.89), hypertension (HR: 2.02; 95% CI: 1.15-3.54), arrhythmia (HR: 1.90; 95% CI: 0.89-4.06), and pre-BMT chest radiation (yes vs no: HR: 2.83; 95% CI: 1.20-6.67; unknown vs no: HR: 0.88; 95% CI: 0.34-2.28). The C-statistic was 0.77 in the test set (95% CI: 0.70-0.83). Conclusions: This study identified BMT recipients at high risk for CHD, informing targeted screening for early detection and aggressive control of risk factors.
KW - blood or marrow transplantation
KW - cancer survivorship
KW - coronary artery disease
KW - risk prediction
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UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=85163480941&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.jaccao.2023.03.013
DO - 10.1016/j.jaccao.2023.03.013
M3 - Article
C2 - 37614590
AN - SCOPUS:85163480941
SN - 2666-0873
VL - 5
SP - 504
EP - 517
JO - JACC: CardioOncology
JF - JACC: CardioOncology
IS - 4
ER -