TY - JOUR
T1 - Temporal Association among Influenza-Like Illness, Cardiovascular Events, and Vaccine Dose in Patients with High-Risk Cardiovascular Disease
T2 - Secondary Analysis of a Randomized Clinical Trial
AU - Hegde, Sheila M.
AU - Claggett, Brian L.
AU - Udell, Jacob A.
AU - Kim, Kyungmann
AU - Joseph, Jacob
AU - Farkouh, Michael E.
AU - Peikert, Alexander
AU - Bhatt, Ankeet S.
AU - Tattersall, Matthew C.
AU - Bhatt, Deepak L.
AU - Cooper, Lawton S.
AU - Solomon, Scott D.
AU - Vardeny, Orly
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2023 American Medical Association. All rights reserved.
PY - 2023/9/14
Y1 - 2023/9/14
N2 - Importance: Influenza-like illness (ILI) activity has been associated with increased risk of cardiopulmonary (CP) events during the influenza season. High-dose trivalent influenza vaccine was not superior to standard-dose quadrivalent vaccine for reducing these events in patients with high-risk cardiovascular (CV) disease in the Influenza Vaccine to Effectively Stop Cardio Thoracic Events and Decompensated Heart Failure (INVESTED) trial. Objective: To evaluate whether high-dose trivalent influenza vaccination is associated with benefit over standard-dose quadrivalent vaccination in reducing CP events during periods of high, local influenza activity. Design, Setting, and Participants: This study was a prespecified secondary analysis of INVESTED, a multicenter, double-blind, active comparator randomized clinical trial conducted over 3 consecutive influenza seasons from September 2016 to July 2019. Follow-up was completed in July 2019, and data were analyzed from September 21, 2016, to July 31, 2019. Weekly Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)-reported, state-level ILI activity was ascertained to assess the weekly odds of the primary outcome. The study population included 3094 patients with high-risk CV disease from participating centers in the US. Intervention: Participants were randomized to high-dose trivalent or standard-dose quadrivalent influenza vaccine and revaccinated for up to 3 seasons. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was the time to composite of all-cause death or CP hospitalization within each season. Additional measures included weekly CDC-reported ILI activity data by state. Results: Among 3094 participants (mean [SD] age, 65 [12] years; 2309 male [75%]), we analyzed 129285 person-weeks of enrollment, including 1396 composite primary outcome events (1278 CP hospitalization, 118 deaths). A 1% ILI increase in the prior week was associated with an increased risk in the primary outcome (odds ratio [OR], 1.14; 95% CI, 1.07-1.21; P <.001), CP hospitalization (OR, 1.13; 95% CI, 1.06-1.21; P <.001), and CV hospitalization (OR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.04-1.19; P =.001), after adjusting for state, demographic characteristics, enrollment strata, and CV risk factors. Increased ILI activity was not associated with all-cause death (OR, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.88-1.13; P >.99). High-dose compared with standard-dose vaccine did not significantly reduce the primary outcome, even when the analysis was restricted to weeks of high ILI activity (OR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.65-1.20; P =.43). Traditionally warmer months in the US were associated with lower CV risk independent of local ILI activity. Conclusions and Relevance: In this secondary analysis of a randomized clinical trial, ILI activity was temporally associated with increased CP events in patients with high-risk CV disease, and a higher influenza vaccine dose did not significantly reduce temporal CV risk. Other seasonal factors may play a role in the coincident high rates of ILI and CV events. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02787044.
AB - Importance: Influenza-like illness (ILI) activity has been associated with increased risk of cardiopulmonary (CP) events during the influenza season. High-dose trivalent influenza vaccine was not superior to standard-dose quadrivalent vaccine for reducing these events in patients with high-risk cardiovascular (CV) disease in the Influenza Vaccine to Effectively Stop Cardio Thoracic Events and Decompensated Heart Failure (INVESTED) trial. Objective: To evaluate whether high-dose trivalent influenza vaccination is associated with benefit over standard-dose quadrivalent vaccination in reducing CP events during periods of high, local influenza activity. Design, Setting, and Participants: This study was a prespecified secondary analysis of INVESTED, a multicenter, double-blind, active comparator randomized clinical trial conducted over 3 consecutive influenza seasons from September 2016 to July 2019. Follow-up was completed in July 2019, and data were analyzed from September 21, 2016, to July 31, 2019. Weekly Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)-reported, state-level ILI activity was ascertained to assess the weekly odds of the primary outcome. The study population included 3094 patients with high-risk CV disease from participating centers in the US. Intervention: Participants were randomized to high-dose trivalent or standard-dose quadrivalent influenza vaccine and revaccinated for up to 3 seasons. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was the time to composite of all-cause death or CP hospitalization within each season. Additional measures included weekly CDC-reported ILI activity data by state. Results: Among 3094 participants (mean [SD] age, 65 [12] years; 2309 male [75%]), we analyzed 129285 person-weeks of enrollment, including 1396 composite primary outcome events (1278 CP hospitalization, 118 deaths). A 1% ILI increase in the prior week was associated with an increased risk in the primary outcome (odds ratio [OR], 1.14; 95% CI, 1.07-1.21; P <.001), CP hospitalization (OR, 1.13; 95% CI, 1.06-1.21; P <.001), and CV hospitalization (OR, 1.12; 95% CI, 1.04-1.19; P =.001), after adjusting for state, demographic characteristics, enrollment strata, and CV risk factors. Increased ILI activity was not associated with all-cause death (OR, 1.00; 95% CI, 0.88-1.13; P >.99). High-dose compared with standard-dose vaccine did not significantly reduce the primary outcome, even when the analysis was restricted to weeks of high ILI activity (OR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.65-1.20; P =.43). Traditionally warmer months in the US were associated with lower CV risk independent of local ILI activity. Conclusions and Relevance: In this secondary analysis of a randomized clinical trial, ILI activity was temporally associated with increased CP events in patients with high-risk CV disease, and a higher influenza vaccine dose did not significantly reduce temporal CV risk. Other seasonal factors may play a role in the coincident high rates of ILI and CV events. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02787044.
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85171240656&partnerID=8YFLogxK
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/citedby.url?scp=85171240656&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.31284
DO - 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2023.31284
M3 - Article
C2 - 37707817
AN - SCOPUS:85171240656
SN - 2574-3805
VL - 6
SP - E2331284
JO - JAMA Network Open
JF - JAMA Network Open
IS - 9
ER -